{"id":10404,"date":"2019-04-02T09:52:50","date_gmt":"2019-04-02T08:52:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lazardfreresgestion-tribune.fr\/?p=10404"},"modified":"2019-07-22T10:54:53","modified_gmt":"2019-07-22T09:54:53","slug":"turkey-pulling-out-of-recession-will-depend-on-investor-confidence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/turkey-pulling-out-of-recession-will-depend-on-investor-confidence\/","title":{"rendered":"Turkey: Pulling out of recession will depend on investor confidence"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>Chart of the week<\/h1>\n<p>Turkey\u2019s Economic Confidence Index, which encapsulates both producers\u2019 and consumers\u2019 sentiment and is generally positively correlated with growth, continued to improve in March, following steep falls in summer 2018 prompted by a collapse in the lira. At 81.9, however, the index remains well below its long-term average of 100.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/lazardfreresgestion-tribune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/\/2019\/04\/02042019-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-10415 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/lazardfreresgestion-tribune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/\/2019\/04\/02042019-2-300x169.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"467\" height=\"263\" srcset=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/02042019-2-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/02042019-2-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/02042019-2-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/02042019-2-600x338.png 600w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/02042019-2.png 1073w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 467px) 100vw, 467px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h5><b>OUR<\/b> <b>ANALYSIS<\/b><\/h5>\n<p>Although it is too early to say that Turkey\u2019s economy is out of recession, it does seem to be over the worst. In addition, weaker demand levels have reduced the current account deficit and with inflation starting to ease, the central bank should soon be in a position to loosen monetary policy to stimulate growth. That said, the process could be delayed if renewed volatility in the lira continues, reflective as it is of fragile investor confidence, and the cloud of uncertainty surrounding government policy and the local elections (March 31st) only complicates matters.<\/p>\n<p><em>The opinion expressed above is dated March 29th, 2019, and liable to change.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;\">This document is not pre-contractual or contractual in nature. It is provided for information purposes. The analyses and descriptions contained in this document shall not be interpreted as being advice or recommendations on the part of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell, nor an encouragement to invest. This document is the intellectual property of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chart of the week Turkey\u2019s Economic Confidence Index, which encapsulates both producers\u2019 and consumers\u2019 sentiment and is generally positively correlated&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101016,"featured_media":10409,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[148],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10404","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chart-of-the-week"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Turkey: Pulling out of recession will depend on investor confidence &#8211; Tribune Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Turkey: Pulling out of recession will depend on investor confidence Chart of the week Tribune Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/turkey-pulling-out-of-recession-will-depend-on-investor-confidence\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Turkey: Pulling out of recession will depend on investor confidence &#8211; 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