{"id":14047,"date":"2020-05-04T13:48:30","date_gmt":"2020-05-04T12:48:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lazardfreresgestion-tribune.fr\/?p=14047"},"modified":"2020-05-04T13:50:04","modified_gmt":"2020-05-04T12:50:04","slug":"united-states-money-creation-at-its-highest-since-world-war-ii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/united-states-money-creation-at-its-highest-since-world-war-ii\/","title":{"rendered":"United States: money creation at its highest since World War II"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Chart of the week<\/h2>\n<p>Money growth has risen sharply due to the Federal Reserve\u2019s response to the Covid-19 crisis and the fact that economic agents have increased their cash deposit levels to safeguard liquidity or reduce spending.<\/p>\n<p>In the last twelve months, money supply has grown at its highest rate since World War II. M2\u00b9 grew 16% YoY, 9% over the last two months only. This pace is likely to remain high in the coming months.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14043 alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/chartoftheweek.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2170\" height=\"1198\" srcset=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/chartoftheweek.png 2170w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/chartoftheweek-300x166.png 300w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/chartoftheweek-1024x565.png 1024w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/chartoftheweek-768x424.png 768w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/chartoftheweek-600x331.png 600w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/chartoftheweek-1536x848.png 1536w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/chartoftheweek-2048x1131.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2170px) 100vw, 2170px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Our analysis<\/h2>\n<p>What impact will such massive money creation have on the economy and on inflation, in particular? Although the last few years have shown that the relationship between money supply and inflation is not straightforward, the current acceleration is unprecedented.<\/p>\n<p>This rapid increase is currently cushioning a severe deflationary shock and the money velocity has fallen sharply, in line with activity levels. The question will really arise when business levels recover, with the stance adopted by the Federal Reserve also key. Against this backdrop, it is too early to hazard an answer, but the next few years will provide an opportunity to revisit some of classic economics questions.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00b9 M2 corresponds to M1 (coins and banknotes in circulation and overnight deposits) + passbook deposits and short-term loans.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>See also :<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"qL3IzUuKQX\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/chinas-awakening\/\">China&#8217;s awakening<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;China&#8217;s awakening&#8221; &#8212; Tribune Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion\" src=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/chinas-awakening\/embed\/#?secret=wUCTD0gacB#?secret=qL3IzUuKQX\" data-secret=\"qL3IzUuKQX\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><i>The opinion expressed above is dated <\/i><i>\u00a024 April\u00a0<\/i><i>2020<\/i><i>, and liable to change.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;\">This document is not pre-contractual or contractual in nature. It is provided for information purposes. The analyses and descriptions contained in this document shall not be interpreted as being advice or recommendations on the part of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell, nor an encouragement to invest. This document is the intellectual property of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. LAZARD FRERES GESTION \u2013 a simplified joint stock company with share capital of \u20ac14,487,500 &#8211; Paris Trade and Companies Registry No. 352 213 599. 25, RUE DE COURCELLES &#8211; 75008 PARIS, FRANCE<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chart of the week Money growth has risen sharply due to the Federal Reserve\u2019s response to the Covid-19 crisis and&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101016,"featured_media":14030,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[148],"tags":[2006,1925,2011,1971],"class_list":["post-14047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chart-of-the-week","tag-economy","tag-fed-en","tag-growth","tag-usa-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>United States: money creation 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