{"id":14978,"date":"2020-10-02T16:30:55","date_gmt":"2020-10-02T15:30:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lazardfreresgestion-tribune.fr\/?p=14978"},"modified":"2023-02-08T09:46:53","modified_gmt":"2023-02-08T08:46:53","slug":"economic-outlook-s2-2020-brisk-post-lockdown-rebound","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/economic-outlook-s2-2020-brisk-post-lockdown-rebound\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic outlook S2 2020 | Brisk post-lockdown rebound"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Part 2 : brisk post-lockdown rebound<\/h2>\n<p>The post-lockdown rebound is occurring at a faster and stronger rate than consensus expectations. Surveys show a marked rebound over the last three months in both developed and emerging markets. However, following such an extraordinary period, it is difficult to equate this survey data to any precise growth rate.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14979 alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1217\" height=\"803\" srcset=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-3.png 1217w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-3-300x198.png 300w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-3-1024x676.png 1024w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-3-768x507.png 768w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-3-600x396.png 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1217px) 100vw, 1217px\" \/><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;\">As of : September 2020<\/span><\/p>\n<p>While there is real momentum driving the recovery, the pace of upturn is uneven.\u00a0\u00a0Generally speaking, and as can be seen in the United States, while total consumption is in decline, the same cannot be said for all its components. The consumption of goods has in fact rebounded, and that of consumer durables in particular. In contrast, spending on services, a major component of total consumption, still falls short of previous highs.<\/p>\n<p>In France, certain sectors are recovering rapidly, with consumer durables even benefitting from a catch-up effect. Latest INSEE estimates show activity for July reaching 95% of normal levels.<\/p>\n<p>In Europe, as things stand, it looks very likely that the economy will return to 97% of pre-shutdown levels by the end of the year.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-14981 alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1260\" height=\"702\" srcset=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-4.png 1260w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-4-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-4-1024x571.png 1024w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-4-768x428.png 768w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/pespectives-Engl-figure-4-600x334.png 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1260px) 100vw, 1260px\" \/><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;\">As of : September 2020<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>To download our Economic Outlook click <a href=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Economic-and-market-outlook-september-2020_vf.pdf\">here.<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>See also :\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/economic-outlook-s2-2020-long-lasting-crisis-effects-versus-continued-massive-economic-support\/\">https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/economic-outlook-s2-2020-long-lasting-crisis-effects-versus-continued-massive-economic-support\/<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>The opinion expressed above is dated September 2020 and is liable to change. Latest available data is used.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;\">This document is not pre-contractual or contractual in nature. It is provided for information purposes. The analyses and descriptions contained in this document shall not be interpreted as being advice or recommendations on the part of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell, nor an encouragement to invest. This document is the intellectual property of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. LAZARD FRERES GESTION \u2013 a simplified joint stock company with share capital of \u20ac14,487,500 &#8211; Paris Trade and Companies Registry No. 352 213 599. 25, RUE DE COURCELLES &#8211; 75008 PARIS, FRANCE<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Part 2 : brisk post-lockdown rebound The post-lockdown rebound is occurring at a faster and stronger rate than consensus expectations.&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101016,"featured_media":14904,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[231],"tags":[2044,2099,2114,2111,2113,2112],"class_list":["post-14978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economic-outlook","tag-consumption","tag-europe-en","tag-insee-en","tag-markets","tag-post-lockdown","tag-rebound"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Economic outlook S2 2020 | Brisk post-lockdown rebound &#8211; Tribune Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The post-lockdown rebound is occurring at a faster and stronger rate than consensus expectations. 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