{"id":16574,"date":"2021-05-17T15:28:50","date_gmt":"2021-05-17T14:28:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lazardfreresgestion-tribune.fr\/?p=16574"},"modified":"2021-05-17T15:29:58","modified_gmt":"2021-05-17T14:29:58","slug":"us-weekly-jobless-claims-improving-significantly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/us-weekly-jobless-claims-improving-significantly\/","title":{"rendered":"US weekly jobless claims improving significantly"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Chart of the week<\/h2>\n<p>At 498,000, initial jobless claims for the week ending May 1st have fallen to their lowest level since March 2020.<\/p>\n<p>They had reached extraordinarily high levels at the start of the 2020 lockdown and then hovered around 800,000 between September 2020 and February 2021, a level well above all previous record highs.<\/p>\n<p>Since the beginning of March, the number of claims has been on a clear downtrend to now reach the level that prevailed in November 2009, five months after the 2008\u201309 recession.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-16566\" src=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/graphique-semaine-17-angl-300x192.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"816\" height=\"522\" srcset=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/graphique-semaine-17-angl-300x192.jpg 300w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/graphique-semaine-17-angl-1024x655.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/graphique-semaine-17-angl-768x491.jpg 768w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/graphique-semaine-17-angl-1536x982.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/graphique-semaine-17-angl.jpg 1797w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 816px) 100vw, 816px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2><b>OUR ANALYSIS<\/b><\/h2>\n<p>If the downtrend continues at the same pace as seen in the past two months, weekly jobless claims could return to the low points of 2019 as early as this summer. During the previous cycle it took almost a decade for claims to reach this level.<\/p>\n<p>The speed of decline in weekly jobless claims will be a good indication of how quickly the labour market is returning to normal.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>See also:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/united-states-towards-a-record-trade-deficit\/\">https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/united-states-towards-a-record-trade-deficit\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;\">The following opinion was written on May 5th 2021 and is susceptible of changing.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;\">Sources : Bloomberg and Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion, May 5th 2021<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;\">This document is not pre-contractual or contractual in nature. It is provided for information purposes. The analyses and descriptions contained in this document shall not be interpreted as being advice or recommendations on the part of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell, nor an encouragement to invest. This document is the intellectual property of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. LAZARD FRERES GESTION \u2013 a simplified joint stock company with share capital of \u20ac14,487,500 &#8211; Paris Trade and Companies Registry No. 352 213 599. 25, RUE DE COURCELLES &#8211; 75008 PARIS, FRANCE<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chart of the week At 498,000, initial jobless claims for the week ending May 1st have fallen to their lowest&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101016,"featured_media":16570,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[148,97],"tags":[2306,2307,2104,1922],"class_list":["post-16574","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chart-of-the-week","category-news","tag-jobless","tag-labour-market","tag-recession-en","tag-united-states"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US weekly jobless claims improving significantly &#8211; 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