{"id":18368,"date":"2022-06-22T15:34:12","date_gmt":"2022-06-22T14:34:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lazardfreresgestion-tribune.fr\/?p=18368"},"modified":"2022-06-22T15:34:55","modified_gmt":"2022-06-22T14:34:55","slug":"united-states-households-expect-inflation-to-become-increasingly-persistent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/united-states-households-expect-inflation-to-become-increasingly-persistent\/","title":{"rendered":"United States: Households expect inflation to become increasingly persistent"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Chart of the Week<\/h2>\n<p>While the very strong inflation figures for May (8.6% over 12 months) were widely commented on, the latest indicators published by the University of Michigan also gave the Federal Reserve cause for concern. The household confidence index reached a new historic low. The survey also presents two inflation expectation figures, one in the short term (1 year) and the other in the longer term (5 to 10 years).<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"margin-top: 0px;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-18361\" src=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/chartoftheweek-300x149.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"660\" height=\"328\" srcset=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/chartoftheweek-300x149.png 300w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/chartoftheweek-1024x510.png 1024w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/chartoftheweek-768x382.png 768w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/chartoftheweek.png 1181w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \/><\/h2>\n<h3><b>OUR <\/b><b>ANALYSIS<\/b><\/h3>\n<p>Short-term expectations are very sensitive to current inflation and in particular to changes in fuel prices. Long-term expectations are less variable. Having been relatively stable between the end of the 1990s and 2014, they had gradually declined until 2016. Since the beginning of 2021, they seemed to have returned to the average level that prevailed until 2014, but the preliminary figure for June now shows a clear jump to 3.3%, one of the highest levels since the mid-1990s.<\/p>\n<p>It is still too early to say whether this movement will last or is set to be amplified. The anchoring of inflation expectations was an important element of the disinflation of the 1990s. If expectations continue to rise, it will make it harder for the Fed to reduce inflation.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The opinion expressed above is dated June 17, 2022 and is subject to change.<\/p>\n<p>See also: https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/germany-job-vacancies-continue-to-rise-in-may\/<\/p>\n<p>***<\/p>\n<p>This document is not pre-contractual or contractual in nature. It is provided for information purposes. The analyses and descriptions contained in this document shall not be interpreted as being advice or recommendations on the part of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell, nor an encouragement to invest. This document is the intellectual property of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. LAZARD FRERES GESTION \u2013 a simplified joint stock company with share capital of \u20ac14,487,500 \u2013 Paris Trade and Companies Registry No. 352 213 599. 25, RUE DE COURCELLES \u2013 75008 PARIS, FRANCE<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chart of the Week While the very strong inflation figures for May (8.6% over 12 months) were widely commented on,&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101016,"featured_media":18367,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[148],"tags":[1940,1971],"class_list":["post-18368","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chart-of-the-week","tag-inflation-en","tag-usa-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>United States: Households expect inflation to become increasingly persistent &#8211; 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