{"id":18683,"date":"2022-09-28T13:35:42","date_gmt":"2022-09-28T12:35:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lazardfreresgestion-tribune.fr\/?p=18683"},"modified":"2022-09-28T13:41:37","modified_gmt":"2022-09-28T12:41:37","slug":"short-term-rates-higher-for-a-longer-time-in-the-united-states","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/short-term-rates-higher-for-a-longer-time-in-the-united-states\/","title":{"rendered":"Short-term rates higher for a longer time in the United States"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Chart of the Week<\/h2>\n<p>On Wednesday 21 September, the Federal Reserve raised its key interest rate by 75 basis points for the third consecutive time, bringing it to a range of 3.00% to 3.25%. The U.S. central bank continues its historically rapid rate hike cycle, having made fighting inflation a priority while recognizing its negative impact on growth.<\/p>\n<p>The very strong August inflation figures released the week before may have led some commentators to raise the possibility of a 100 basis point hike, but those expectations were quickly deflated.<\/p>\n<p>The surprise was more about the &#8220;dot plots&#8221;, the chart that represents the expectations of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members regarding the evolution of short-term rates. This chart shows that central bankers now expect between 100 and 125 basis points of additional rate hikes by the end of the year.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-18695\" src=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Chart-of-the-week-2309-blog-1-300x157.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"859\" height=\"449\" srcset=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Chart-of-the-week-2309-blog-1-300x157.png 300w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Chart-of-the-week-2309-blog-1-1024x535.png 1024w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Chart-of-the-week-2309-blog-1-768x402.png 768w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Chart-of-the-week-2309-blog-1.png 1490w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 859px) 100vw, 859px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3><b>OUR <\/b><b>ANALYSIS<\/b><\/h3>\n<p>At the Jackson Hole meeting in August, Jerome Powell emphasized the need to maintain a restrictive monetary policy over an extended period of time to curb inflation. The expectations for short-term rates (Fed Funds) for the end of 2023 illustrate this message well: the members of the FOMC now anticipate their evolution in a range of 4.50-4.75% at that time. Only one FOMC member expects short-term rates to be below 4.25-4.50% at the end of 2023. A year earlier, the same panel expected rates to be around 1.00%: this illustrates the extent of the change in central bankers&#8217; focus on the fight against inflation.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The opinion expressed above is dated September 23th, 2022 and is subject to change.<\/p>\n<p>See also: https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/gas-prices-under-pressure\/<\/p>\n<p>***<\/p>\n<p>This document is not pre-contractual or contractual in nature. It is provided for information purposes. The analyses and descriptions contained in this document shall not be interpreted as being advice or recommendations on the part of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell, nor an encouragement to invest. This document is the intellectual property of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. LAZARD FRERES GESTION \u2013 a simplified joint stock company with share capital of \u20ac14,487,500 \u2013 Paris Trade and Companies Registry No. 352 213 599. 25, RUE DE COURCELLES \u2013 75008 PARIS, FRANCE<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chart of the Week On Wednesday 21 September, the Federal Reserve raised its key interest rate by 75 basis points&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101016,"featured_media":18680,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[148],"tags":[1940,1971],"class_list":["post-18683","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chart-of-the-week","tag-inflation-en","tag-usa-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Short-term rates higher for a longer time in the United States &#8211; Tribune Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Short-term rates higher for a longer time in the United States Chart of the week Tribune Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/short-term-rates-higher-for-a-longer-time-in-the-united-states\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Short-term rates higher for a longer time in the United States &#8211; 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