{"id":3686,"date":"2016-10-18T16:44:39","date_gmt":"2016-10-18T15:44:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lazardfreresgestion-tribune.com\/?p=3686"},"modified":"2019-04-19T09:09:20","modified_gmt":"2019-04-19T08:09:20","slug":"china-is-recent-yuan-weakness-against-the-dollar-a-cause-for-concern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/en\/china-is-recent-yuan-weakness-against-the-dollar-a-cause-for-concern\/","title":{"rendered":"China: is recent yuan weakness against the dollar a cause for concern?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">CHART OF THE WEEK<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">As China\u2019s markets reopened following its Golden Week holiday, on Monday October 10th <b>the People\u2019s Bank of China (PBoC) fixed the midpoint around which the USD\/CNY can trade at <\/b><b>6.7008.<\/b> This is the first time in six years that the CNY mid-point has broken the symbolic 6.70 threshold. Following three months of general currency stability, the yuan, which officially belongs to the IMF\u2019s very exclusive reserve-currencies club since October 1st, has begun a downward trend against the USD.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-3687\" src=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Chartoftheweek42.png\" alt=\"chartoftheweek42\" width=\"1091\" height=\"594\" srcset=\"https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Chartoftheweek42.png 1091w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Chartoftheweek42-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Chartoftheweek42-768x418.png 768w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Chartoftheweek42-1024x558.png 1024w, https:\/\/latribune.lazardfreresgestion.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Chartoftheweek42-600x327.png 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1091px) 100vw, 1091px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>Our <\/b><b>Analysis <\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Recent yuan weakness against the USD has to be seen within the context of the PBoC\u2019s new exchange rate policy, where the CNY mid-point is now set both according to the spot rate from the previous trading day as well as its variation compared to a basket of currencies that includes the USD (26% weighting). Given that the USD has been strengthening across the board, including against the yuan, there has been downward bias on the CNY fixing and the CNY\/USD pair. <b>Thus, recent yuan weakness is not a cause for concern as it mainly reflects a stronger greenback rather than any factors specific to China.<\/b> Indeed, after an overall 6% drop in value since 2015, the yuan has recently strengthened slightly against the PBoC\u2019s basket of thirteen currencies. The yuan\u2019s 50% appreciation in real terms between 2005 and 2015 also helps to put this recent weakness into perspective.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><i>The opinion expressed above is dated October 14<\/i><i>th<\/i><i>, 2016 and is liable to change<\/i><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #333333; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; font-size: 8pt;\">This document is not pre-contractual or contractual in nature. It is provided for information purposes. The analyses and descriptions contained in this document shall not be interpreted as being advice or recommendations on the part of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell, nor an encouragement to invest. This document is the intellectual property of Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion SAS. <\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CHART OF THE WEEK As China\u2019s markets reopened following its Golden Week holiday, on Monday October 10th the People\u2019s Bank&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101016,"featured_media":3684,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[148],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3686","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chart-of-the-week"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China: is recent yuan weakness against the dollar a cause for concern? &#8211; Tribune Lazard Fr\u00e8res Gestion<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"China: is recent yuan weakness against the dollar a cause for concern? 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